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Will Very Smart Machines Replace You?

By Sara White posted 06-14-2015 09:42

  

The July HBR has a very interesting series on Beyond Automation. Strategies for Remaining Gainfully Employed in an Era of Very Smart Machines by Davenport and Kirby.

  • Automation/computerization is coming to knowledge work in the form of artificial intelligence in the foreseeable future such as CPOE systems screening for allergies, contraindications, perform kinetic calculations, etc.
  • Eras of automation
    • 19th Century-machines take away the dirty and dangerous industrial tasks and relieves humans of onerous manual labor
    • 20th Century-machines take away the dull tasks such as routine service transactions and clerical chores.  Think of airline kiosks and phone trees
    • 21st Century-machines take away decision making with intelligent systems to make better choices than humans reliability and fast.
  • It is important to rather than ask what mental tasks currently performed by humans will soon be done more cheaply and rapidly by machines but rather what new feats might we be able to achieve with the assistance of machines
  • The key is to start with what humans do today and figure out how that work could be deepened rather than diminished by the greater use of machines such as with sophisticated decision analytics based on large data sets could uncover new and important insights
  • Consider the following five paths to continued employability
    • Step Up by adding value such as considering the big picture which a computer will always have trouble doing. An example for pharmacy leaders might be how can wearable technology make pharmacists more productive. If this is your strategy consider getting additional education such as an MBA or MHA.
    • Step Aside by bringing your strengths to the table that aren’t about purely rational cognition such as intuiting what our “customers” really need.  A pharmacy example might be using “FedEx type” technology to notify the nurse when her dose arrives in the patient care area. If this is your strategy develop your “multiple intelligences” beyond IQ and look at things from the other caregivers perspective by such practices as shadowing as medications are administered.
    • Step In by understanding how software makes routine decisions so you can modify its function and outputs. In the pharmacy world understanding how the workload statistics are captured and the billing-reimbursement programs work is critical to ensure their accuracy. If this is your strategy then broadening and deepening your knowledge outside of pharmacy is important.
    • Step Narrowly by specializing in something no computer program has yet been able to do.  For us it might be personal, real time, on-going, face to face relationships with patients so they can clarify all the information they are receiving and reading. If this is your strategy then you must master communication skills, the use of social media, technology such as Skype, Face Time, etc. and be passionate about helping patients.
    • Step Forward by building the next generation of smart machines or applications by seizing on new ways to use data to optimize key decisions. For pharmacy it might be innovative ways to ensure medication adherence or that patients had refills when needed. If this is your strategy then you need to stay up on cutting edge computer science and technology such as blue tooth data transfer.

Please share what you think the implications are for us?  



#ResidencyProgramDirector #ClinicalSpecialistsandScientists #PharmacyPracticeManagers #PharmacyLeadership
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06-16-2015 14:05

Allen
Thanks for sharing these comments. I think it will be interesting to see how things play out in the next few years

06-16-2015 10:00

One lesson about the use of automation from other high-risk domains is that even the "smartest" machine automation is not perfect and can fail.
• Bainbridge has written about the ironies of automation. When we reach the point where we can no longer understand what "smart" machines are actually doing, and then the "smart" machines experience unexpected downtime, it is very difficult for us as human experts to "jump in" and "pick up the pieces" without "skipping a beat" and potentially missing something important. (Bainbridge L., Ironies of Automation, Automation Vol 19 No 6, 1983).
In part because of the ironies of automation, the Principle of Complementarity has been put forth as one way of thinking about how to manage automation. See Sandom and Harvey's discussion on this principle here:
http://tinyurl.com/pro4qh3

06-15-2015 14:22

David
Thanks for your comments. I think you are right on.

06-14-2015 23:16

Great post Sara. The implications are many. Some thoughts:
1) Order entry/verification is repetitive and monotonous - eventually computers will likely do this at least on par with humans without our error prone nature.
2) The regulatory landscape common to the US will likely cause the US to lag behind adoption of AI in practice
3) The relationships we form with our patients, which are a critical aspect in optimization medication use cannot be easily replaced by machines
I think a strong guiding compass for Pharmacy is to continue asking ourselves: What are we doing that is adding value? If we can continuously hone that value the profession will thrive.